HOT off the Press. Mask, social distancing, disinfectant. How Protective?

HOT off the Press. Mask, social distancing, disinfectant. How Protective?

Introduction
(0:01) Hi, this is Dr. Daniels, and you are listening to Healing with Dr. Daniels. This is the Sunday, June 7th, 2020 edition. Today's title is "Hot Off The Press: Masks, Disinfectants, Social Distancing—How Protective Are These?"
(0:17) Masks, disinfectants, social distancing—how protective are these? You'll be happy to know the Medical Industrial Complex has done some studies to help you sort this out. So, I’m going to take a look at these studies and put a number to these percentages so you can have the information to decide for yourself. Whether you decide to do any or all of these is totally up to you. I'll tell you what I'm doing at the end of the day, not to say you should do the same. It's your life; it’s on you.
(0:54) Another thing I'd like to say is that a lot of people are now predicting the future. I’m not a fortune teller, so I am not going to predict the future. I firmly believe that the future is created by what each and every one of us individually decides to do. So, the big deal here is to give you information so you can create the future that you want, whatever that is.
Turpentine Time
(1:33) Oh wait, wait, wait. We've got to take our turpentine. I am so excited I forgot. Let's see here. How about some sugar? White sugar, yay, white sugar. I’m always so excited to find useful applications for common materials. All right, here we have white sugar, yay.
(2:06) And to go with our white sugar, bow, we have some, yay, turpentine. This is a little plastic disposable pipette, but I reuse them. Eventually, the top bulb cracks, but that's okay. They come in packs of like 10 to 100. I think I had a pack of 20 or something, and it’s been many years, and it still works nice. Okay, so here we are, turpentine. Squeeze the top bulb, yay, let go. Oh my gosh, just perfect. So, turpentine goes right in there, right up to the neck of the bulb, which for me is half a teaspoon for this particular pipette. If you use a pipette, you have to check your pipette and see what the top of your pipette means—what the volume is.
(2:55) All right, so here we are. Squeeze that right on top, yay, yay, yay, and more. There you go. And then we have some water, bam. That went down pretty easy.
(3:29) All right, then we have, yay, Shilajit, also known as Mumio. This is from Russia, and this is their country pride. Yes, Shilajit. They also call it black gold—not because it’s so expensive, but because it’s so valuable. This is a unique blend of trace minerals, and it has a broader spectrum of minerals than other sources of fulvic minerals. For example, there’s a famous pit in Utah and in various places in the world, but this one has the most rich in trace minerals. Put this in our glass of water. As you can see, it does not dissolve very easily, so we’re going to let it sit there, and I will drink it either at the end of the show or off-camera, whatever.
(4:27) It turns out that your body makes a lot of hormones, a lot of enzymes, a lot of proteins that are very active and get stuff done, but those proteins work very little or not at all if they don’t have the trace mineral they need. So, just taking this makes your whole body work better at a higher level. Very nice. No, it’s not on our website yet, but we’re working on it.
Vitality Capsules Update
(4:56) Okay, so we’ve taken our turpentine, the Shilajit is brewing, and let’s talk about Vitality Capsules. Oh my God, so Vitality Capsules are now available! Yay! And our awesome testing plan or program, which we’ve modified many times to make sure we get the highest quality possible, has been very successful. Regular Vitality Capsules are available, and Extra Strength is also available. In fact, they should have shipped out yesterday, and I’m getting back really positive results already on the regular. People who used to need three capsules to get their three poos a day are now getting the same three poos with just one capsule. I am so excited! So, each batch is different, but we’re really happy to have achieved the high potency that we want with this batch.
(6:05) So, go to vitalitycapsules.com to get your Vitality Capsules to clean out your large intestine, your small intestine, your bile ducts, your liver, and circulate your blood to every part of your body. It is amazing, it's very nice.
(6:14) Now, what we’re doing is working on systematizing our testing and quality assurance processes. The problem is because all of our ingredients are natural—they are plants, just plants, leaves, roots, fruits, seeds—because of the variability in seasonality and conditions, the same supplier doesn’t always have the best quality ingredients that we need. So, each time we make another batch, we have to go through the whole testing all over again. We can’t say, “Oh, that supplier was great, we’re going to use them again.” We have to go through the whole testing all over again. So, we’re working on getting that in place.
(7:05) I know a lot of people are saying, “Oh my God, when’s the sale? When’s the sale?” Uh, there’s not going to be a sale. Because if we have a sale, then we don’t have enough volume, we don’t have enough stock to ship out everything that sells during a sale. So, you have to buy them now. However, we do have discounts, and the discounts get better and better the more you buy. There’s the one-bottle price, discounts at three bottles, discounts again at ten, and the discount at twenty bottles is pretty close to sale price. So, those are your options.
Today’s Topic: The Effectiveness of Masks and Social Distancing
(7:33) That brings us to today’s topic. I’m telling you, you cannot make this stuff up. So, when I first started doing radio shows and now podcasts, I would get these numbers together, and I would crunch these numbers, and I would review them with the audience. One of my helpers, advisors, or says, “Jennifer, is this too technical?” Okay, so having said that, today’s show is going to be a bit technical. The reason it’s going to be technical is because people are making some pretty important decisions.
(8:04) Are you going to pick up your grandkid and give him a hug or just wave the glass between you? Are you going to go for a walk in the park, or are you going to shelter in place the rest of your life? These are big decisions people are making. If someone invites you to a gathering of some sort, let’s say maybe a house party, are you going to go? Are you going to stay home? And if you go, are you going to wear masks—mask and gloves, mask, gloves, and eye protection? What are you going to do? People are making some really big decisions about how to live their lives. Are you going to go meet that special someone? Maybe, maybe not. I don’t know.
(9:02) So, if you’re going to make those huge decisions based on information, then you need to have really high-quality information and understand what the numbers mean and where they’re coming from.
Assumptions and Analysis
(9:10) Okay, so first, we have to lay out some assumptions. I’m going to tell you my assumptions. You can change those assumptions and make your own. I’ll even tell you how.
(9:25) So, first thing we have to understand is, or what we’re trying to get a grip on, is what is the danger? What is the risk? What are we risking? And let’s be clear, we’re risking death. Okay, death. So, we got that, we’re risking death. But we have another issue with death, which is we’re all going to die. So, the question is, at what age is it okay for you to die? At what age are you no longer interested in doing anything to prevent death? That number is different for every person. So, I’m going to lay out today what I have done, the assumptions I have made. I’ve had to make some assumptions to even analyze the information. So, you’ve got to make similar assumptions, but yours can be different.
(10:11) Okay, so first of all, facts. There are 330 million Americans. That’s it, 330 million Americans. And we have 3 million, more or less, deaths a year. It’s a little bit less, 2.8 million, but hey, keep the number simple—3 million. So, we have 3 million deaths a year, 330 million people. That means the chance of a healthy person dying is 0.009, or nine per thousand. So, what I’ve done is I’ve taken painstaking mathematical care to keep 1,000 as the denominator throughout all my calculations. This was not easy, but I did it just for you so we can be comparing, as your fourth-grade math teacher said, apples to apples. This is important, as you will soon see.
(11:05) So, anything that kills nine per thousand… Oh, another assumption I made. So, anything that kills, say, four per thousand, because nine per thousand is the chance of a healthy person dying, right? So, anything that kills four per thousand or less is not relevant because that would correspond to a life expectancy of more than 100 years. Let’s see what it would correspond to. Hold on to your hat. So next is life expectancy. What is it nowadays? It’s 78.5 years. So, with a 0.009 death rate, nine per thousand death rate, people are living to the age of 78.5 years. So, we’re conceding that right now, not right now, but a year ago, let’s say, there was something going on out there that was killing nine per thousand Americans, and Americans were living to 78.5 years. And at that time, nobody was wearing a mask or social distancing or whatever. So, this is important to understand.
(12:18) So, if we believe that what we were doing back then was reasonable, then if the new thing coming in, call it novel… how do you like that word, novel? Novel Corona. If it does not shorten the life expectancy, then it’s not a problem, because we’re all going to die of something. And right now, as a society, collectively, we’re accepting 78.5 years of age as the time of death. But wait, we’ve got to decide at what point death is no longer to be prevented. That means at what point do we say, this person is dying, and we are not going to do a thing to prevent their death? Or more precisely, make it personal. Say for me, at what age do I have to be before I say, you know what, no, no, thank you, please. I’m ready to go. Don’t do anything to extend my life. What would that number be? So, I’m going to just go out here on a limb here and say that that number is 157 years.
(13:27) At age 157 years, if something mathematically is going to result in me dropping dead at the age of 157 years, then I’m going to say nothing should be done. It is not worth my while to do anything today to prevent that death. Again, we’ve got to pick a number. I picked 157 because it happens to be twice the present life expectancy, which makes our calculations very simple, right? So, in order to double your life expectancy, all we have to do is cut the death rate in half. So, the death rate is nine per thousand, then 4.5 per thousand. So, anything that kills 4.5 per thousand Americans or less is not worth preventing. We need to understand that. Again, these are just goalposts. You can move your goalposts wherever you want it. Okay, so there you go.
Evaluating Mask Use and Risks
(15:04) Now, what prompted today’s show? I tell you. Oh my god. Oh, I tell you. This is so exciting. Should healthcare workers wear a mask at home? At home? We’re not asking, should they wear one at work? No, we’re asking, should they wear one at home? Now, this will also indirectly answer the question, should they even wear one at work? But we want to understand at home. And so, it’s going to give us a few numbers, but as always, that’s not quite enough numbers.
(15:50) Okay, so home mask use provides one more layer of protection that, listen closely, might help mitigate. So, it might help, but it might help to reduce the transmission to family members. So, it’s not going to help. It might help the helpers help. It’s just pretty remote. It’s like watering a plant because the plant might grow to give a fruit that once eaten by a human will help the human do miraculous things. First of all, you can water the plant, but then it might not bear fruit. It could bear fruit, but that particular human might not eat it. That human could eat it and then decide not to do great things. So, you see, there’s a lot of different areas or places where things could slip.
(17:05) So, if you could with great certainty know that once the plant bore fruit, then maybe you can make a compelling reason to water it and take a chance. Maybe it won’t bear fruit, but if you say, maybe water it, maybe it’ll bear fruit, maybe they’ll eat it, then you get to a situation where the primary premise is meaningless. Okay, so home mask use provides—and that’s a pretty strong statement—provides one layer of protection. In other words, it cannot alone accomplish anything. It might help. Then again, it might not mitigate, which means lessen the risk of transmission to family members, but it does not do away with the need to follow other preventive measures such as social distancing and proper hygiene.
(18:14) We’re going to get to social distancing and proper hygiene. That is also addressed here in the article, which is really helpful. I’m happy for that. That’s good, but so… and so whose advice on how healthcare workers can protect their families was recently highlighted by the American Medical Association, and he is not convinced. He says he will not be adding home mask use to his list of recommendations. It would be intrusive, cumbersome, and impractical to wear a mask in the home setting.
(18:43) However, when out in the community, all family members must protect one another by practicing social distancing. So, how is it that while you’re at home as a family, you don’t need a mask, but only when the family members go out, do you need social distancing? Can you imagine if a mother social distances herself six feet from her toddler? That’s a dangerous situation.
(19:01) I also think it’s a good idea to have some masks on hand in case anyone does develop symptoms in the household and to wear them if a family member falls ill. So, this person’s advocating use of masks after one family member falls ill. So, targeted use of masks at home, such as around older visiting relatives or other more vulnerable family members, may be more realistic than continuous in-home use. These are all things that people are saying. It’s kind of their impression and kind of what they think. But let’s go take a look at the actual study. This is very good information that they put out.
The Study
(19:24) So, what they did is they had a study, and this is published in the British Medical Journal, which is the British equivalent of the New England Journal of Medicine. Very prestigious journal. Over the years, I’ve read their articles and really found them to be actually pretty helpful. So, the Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control conducted a retrospective study of 124 families in Beijing in which there was a confirmed case of COVID-19. They surveyed family members by telephone about household hygiene and behaviors during the pandemic to examine risk factors for transmission. So, this is important that we have a positive person. It’s not random. We have a person in who’s testing positive for COVID or the chances of transmitting it to another person.
(20:16) And here’s what you’re going to find. So, face masks were 79 percent effective, and disinfection was 77 percent effective in preventing transmission. Okay, the research report said. So, I had to write that down. This is a lot to keep track of. While close frequent contact in the household increased the risk of transmission 18-fold, and diarrhea in the sick patient increased the risk by four times.
(21:16) Okay, so if right now, believe it or not, we have a substantial amount of information. So, if the greatest risk of transmission is 100 percent, you can’t get any higher than 100 percent. Are we clear? Let’s just be clear. All right. So, if the greatest transmission risk is 100 percent, and it’s increased by 18-fold, then it can’t possibly be more than 5.5 percent. That would be 100 percent divided by 18.
(21:49) So, the baseline transmission rate would be 5.5 percent based on this one paragraph. And face masks are 79 percent effective—call it 80 percent. So, that means it reduces the chances of transmission by 4.2 percent. That means for every 100 people who wear a face mask, four infections are prevented.
(22:14) All right. But wait, what is close frequent contact? I read the whole article. I could not find a definition of close frequent contact. Check out the CDC. They have got a definition. Close personal contact. So, they say close contacts are defined as persons within six feet, that would be two meters, or within the room or care area of a confirmed or probable COVID case. Probable? So, the person is not a confirmed case and doesn’t have COVID. How can you have contact with them with COVID? I mean, you’re not having contact with COVID. The person has no COVID. Confusing, but well, that’s okay. Contact with infectious secretions while the case patient was likely to be infectious in a caretaker beginning one day before illness onset, and until resolution of illness. But wait, don’t we know the person was infected two weeks before? But that’s okay. It’s okay. We get some information here.
(23:33) So, we’re still pretty confused. We’re still pretty confused. But in general, decisions to initiate antiviral medication should be guided by the risk stratification described below.
(23:41) Okay, now we’re getting progress. Based on observational data from reported cases of human infections with H7N9 and H5N1 viruses—that means past viruses—and on data from seasonal influenza studies, aka the common cold, or the seasonal flu, excuse me. So, we have three groups, and this is very helpful.
(24:00) Highest risk exposure groups: household or close family member contacts of a confirmed case. They say probable, but since we have a study showing confirmed cases, we can be stricter about that. So, if you live in a house with a confirmed case, you are the highest risk exposure according to the CDC. Then there’s medium risk exposure. These are healthcare personnel with unprotected close contact with a probable case. And then low-risk exposure groups: others who’ve had social contact with a short duration with a confirmed case, like workplace or environment. All right, so we have these three levels of risk.
(24:54) So, this is still a little bit confusing when we’re now looking at the highest risk group, which is household members. So, within a household member group, what is high-frequency close personal contact? For this, we have to go to the UK. Thank goodness for the UK. So, the UK defines that as face-to-face contact for 15 minutes. That’s one high-risk exposure, or close—that’s close personal contact. So, face-to-face 15 minutes. I dare say the average American would be hard-pressed to have 15 minutes of face-to-face contact with anyone in their household. It’s kind of like a rare event, except of course with isolation. So, really, we’ve actually increased the chances of these face-to-face 15-minute encounters. But I digress.
(25:28) So, high-frequency close personal contact—I had to figure that out myself. So, I said high frequency, that would be like more than three, three or more. So, one close personal contact is 15 minutes. Two episodes of personal contact would be 30 minutes. And we’ll say high frequency would be 45 minutes. Okay, so high-frequency personal contact would be 45 minutes a day of face-to-face with another person. If you have a teenager in the household, that’s almost like, it’s not possible. They’re on their devices, or they’re in the other room, or you know, it’s just… I mean, when I had teenagers, I was fortunate to get even two minutes a day of face-to-face contact with them. So now at least we have a definition of high-frequency personal contact. So now that we know what high-frequency personal contact is, it’s face-to-face 45 minutes, either at once or scattered throughout the day.
Breaking Down the Numbers
(26:30) So, now we have… So that’s important information. Now they break it down for us. Overall, 77 of 335 family members developed COVID-19. So, we don’t know how many families. Oh, wait, 44 families—744 families were in the group. We don’t know how many of those families actually had transmission occur. We don’t know. But we do know they do tell us 77 of 335 family members developed COVID-19. So, that means 23% got infected. So, even though their data, the way they presented it, said the infection rate was about 5.5%, they say it’s actually 23%. We are going to go with the 23% and use their numbers.
(27:24) Okay. So, we happen to know now from available data that the death rate from COVID-19 is four per thousand. So, 0.004 per thousand is where we are at with the present calculation. So, in other words, we have a doctor who’s 100% infected going home and spreading it to 23% of contacts who then have a 0.004 chance of dying. Okay. We have that calculation, but thank God they took another look at doctors or healthcare people—not just doctors, but anyone working with COVID-positive people in a healthcare setting. What’s their chance of getting affected? And this is June 2nd. So, this is like hot off the press, hot off the press.
(28:29) So, healthcare workers don’t often contract COVID. What is don’t often? Well, overall, the cumulative incidence of healthcare workers infected with COVID-19 was 1.1%. 1.1% of healthcare workers infected with COVID. But wait, it was 1% among healthcare workers in departments with no contact with patients. So, no patient contact, 1% infection rate. First-line health contact, 0.5% infection rate. Healthcare workers in other clinical departments, 1.6%. This is embarrassing. Why is it embarrassing? It’s embarrassing because obviously, the healthcare workers in departments with no contacts with patients—well, they didn’t get it from patients, right? Or if they did get it from patients, let’s say they got it from air contact and they weren’t wearing masks, let’s just say. Okay. But let’s go with this. Let’s say 1.1% is the number of doctors who are not just the healthcare workers. Okay. Everybody—the receptionist, the nurse, the nurse’s aide, the doctor, the nurse practitioner, everybody in that whole building called the hospital filled with infested people and germs. All right. But 1.1% is how many of them are infected.
(30:12) So, what I did was I took the 1%. That’s the number of people we know are going to come home. They’re going to bring COVID home to their family, 1%. And that 1% is going to infect 23% of the people in their home. And all those who get infected, 0.004 are going to die. So, we need to take a look at that. So, it’s 0.01 times 0.23. So, 0.01 is the percent of healthcare workers bringing COVID home to their families. 0.23 is the number of family members who will get infected times the number who will die, times 0.004.
(31:26) So, all right. So, what we’re looking at… this is crazy. We’re looking at a 0.0000092 chance of the transmission from an infected worker to his family and a family member, one family member, dying. Now, for the sake of discussion, this is less than one in 10,000 or less than 0.1 per thousand. So, we have calculated that we’ve taken a high-risk group, the highest-risk group, which is the doctor. We’ve exposed his family members, which is another high-risk thing. So, we’ve gone ultra, ultra, ultra high risk. So, our very, very, very, very, very high risk of a death from COVID due to exposure, high-risk exposure, close personal contact with a high-risk individual healthcare worker is less than one in 10,000.
(32:42) Let’s just… 0.92. Let’s figure this out. That would be one divided by 0.0000092. Oh my god, that’s one in 108,000. One in 108,000 is the probability of death. That is unspeakably low, actually. One in 108,000. So, how many deaths per thousand is that? So, oh, we have it right here. One, two, three. That’s 0.009 deaths per thousand. So, we have the ultra-high-risk person. This is a doctor, ultra-high-risk situation, family, and his overall chance of transmission is 0.009 per thousand.
Mask Effectiveness
(34:21) But wait, they have a higher, even higher risk group, which is a person who’s now had 45 minutes of face-to-face contact with their family. That is 18-fold higher. So now we’ve increased the risk to 0.1 per 0.16. We’ll run to 0.2. So, 0.2 per thousand is a high-risk person with high-risk behavior, with no protection, having 45 minutes of face-to-face contact with another person. Why don’t we just call it sexual intercourse, huh? What the heck?
(34:48) So, our next thing… oh, wait. So, if you wear a mask, it reduces your risk by 75 percent. And let’s talk about the relative risk reduction that they calculated in their study. So, if you wear a face mask, it reduces your risk by 79 percent. If you disinfect your home regularly, it reduces your risk by 77 percent. If you avoid close personal contact, which is that face-to-face 45-minute frequent personal contact, it reduces your risk by 96 percent. And we can also say close personal contact, but the only way to get 45 minutes of close personal contact with someone is to sleep in the same bed. And actually, later in the study, they do suggest sleeping in different beds. No, it’s not bedrooms, just beds.
(36:05) So, if you’re going to have a 96 percent reduction… I’m sorry, not a 96, but an 18-fold reduction by just sleeping in separate beds, but you’re only going to get a 0.79 reduction by using a mask, then using a mask is pointless relative to sleeping in separate beds. So, for example, if you have a risk—let’s just say a risk of COVID exposure with someone—then your best bet is not to spend 45 minutes face-to-face with them, as opposed to spending 45 minutes face-to-face and wearing a mask. So, if you spend 45 minutes face-to-face and you wear a mask, then you’re going to increase your chances of infection by more or less eightfold. Now you can lower that to fourfold, but that’s a pretty big… well, you would think pretty big increase. But when we’re dealing with numbers so small as 0.009 per thousand, we need to get a grip here.
(37:15) When I say get a grip, I mean we need to compare this to other things that we are a little more familiar with. So, the risk of death… Let’s bring us back to the real world here. So, the risk of death in the United States, because you’re healthy, is nine per thousand. Nine per thousand. The risk if you are COVID positive is four per thousand. So, a regular healthy American is going to live to be 78 years old, and his risk of death, 78.5, risk of death is nine per thousand. All right, if that person… Take a COVID positive person, their risk is four per thousand of death. That basically means they’re half as likely to die. So, if they have to wait for COVID to kill them, then that’s okay. If COVID is your only risk of death out there, then you’re likely to live to be 157.5 years.
(38:34) However, if you’re one of these unlucky people and you got infected by a relative—let’s call it a husband or a close family member, close personal contact, high-risk person—your chances of dying from COVID are 0.009 per thousand. In other words, fantastically less than if you were healthy. In fact, that would condemn you pretty much to immortality.
(39:22) Now, the next question you want to ask yourself is, okay, where does wearing a mask fit into this? So, wearing a mask means you don’t get infected at all and it just puts you right back into the normal category of death rate nine per thousand. Now truthfully, if we want to be very rigorous about this analysis, what we can say is a person who is just a healthy person has a risk of nine per thousand of dying. The marginal risk, in other words, the increased risk by just plain random COVID, whatever that might be, is four per thousand. But what we see in the tests that they’ve shown us, which is that you have a healthcare worker bring the disease home, infects his family. We look at this at their study and we see that the true death from COVID where a positive person comes in contact with someone, gets COVID, and becomes negative, that risk of death is 0.009. In other words, one-hundredth. So, if we take it in terms of if it shortens a person’s life, and it’s another way of looking at it, how much could it possibly shorten their life by? And the answer is literally less than a month. And this also goes along with the reports that many deaths occur in the elderly and that’s because they are so close to death.
Conclusion
(41:08) Now, you have to take a look at this and say, okay, fine. So, if you wear a mask, what are you preventing? And according to this study, nothing. So, the preventive value of wearing them—and I’m just talking about the benefit—even the preventive value of not getting corona is living one month longer at the end of life. So, what is the preventive value of wearing a mask at any point in life? And the answer is that when you reach 78.5 years, you might instead live 78.1 years. And I say might, because what’s going to kill you is the other things out there that are causing the nine per thousand deaths. And so, corona contributes less than one death in a thousand, basically, is what we’re looking at. So, the marginal value, if you want to look at corona death as an additive factor to what’s already out there, is it adds very, very little to the present risk of death.
(43:03) So, what do I do? I don’t disinfect my house. I don’t wear a mask. I definitely don’t social distance. Everybody who comes to my door gets a hug. That may not be for everyone. But the big deal is if you want to prevent coronavirus, getting it, the best way to prevent it is to test your family members in the house, and to not sleep with them. The other thing about the whole, you know, thing of being infected, not infected, whatever, is it turns out that the infection rate, just in general, all Americans, they say—and they’ve been wrong before, but we’re going to take their word for it, just until we find out otherwise—10% of all Americans are positive for coronavirus, as we speak. So, 10% of people right now are positive. So, 10% of people are now positive for coronavirus, then what? There’s nothing to prevent, right?
(45:06) Because we now know that doctors, people in healthcare settings, treating highly infectious coronavirus-positive people are only being infected at the rate of 1%. So, their chances of catching coronavirus from a highly infectious source—call it a patient, sick, symptomatic, coughing—is only 1%. So, that leads you to one of two conclusions: either coronavirus in the population is not generally spread person to person, because if it were, the doctors would be catching it, wouldn’t you think? And certainly, even the clerks in the hospitals would be catching it, because a lot of them are not very well protected.
(46:05) So, the fact that the population at large is infected—or won’t say infected, but testing positive at a rate of 10%—and that healthcare workers as a group are testing positive at a rate of 1.1%, it suggests that testing positive is based on some cultural or population lifestyle that is more prevalent in people who tend not to be working in the healthcare system. In other words, you have a population that’s 10% has this feature, this characteristic, and in that population, it’s segregating out so that one of those 10 people, or people who have that feature with a frequency of 1 in 10, are going towards becoming or working in a healthcare setting. And in the healthcare setting, the highest infection rate does not correlate with the highest patient exposure rate. Again, that suggests that exposure on a person-to-person level with strangers, let’s say, is not a mode of transmission.
(47:12) So, this study was very, very informative. You don’t always get a lot of information out of these studies, but this one was very, very good. Yeah, so they checked not over 9,700 healthcare workers. So, this is a pretty good sample size of how frequently healthcare workers get COVID from patients. And so, if they only get the COVID at the rate of 1%, then do they even need to get to wear a mask at work?
(47:42) So, let’s do that calculation. So, what they found was healthcare workers got infected at the rate of 1%. Gotcha. But they died also at the rate of 1%. So, in other words, of 100 healthcare workers, one out of 100 would get infected. That one… a thousand of those, or 100 of those, only one of those would get, would die. So, we can look at this, we can do this math. 0.01 times 0.01 equals 1, 2, 3. 1 in 10,000. So, the death rate among healthcare workers is 1 in 10,000. So again, 1 in 10,000 is the same as 0.1 per thousand. So again, a healthcare worker does not have a substantial risk from dying of coronavirus. So, in other words, the baseline death rate among healthcare workers would be somewhere around, again, 9 per thousand, right? They live in the United States. So basically, that person has a 99% chance of, if they die, dying of something else.
(49:25) So, in other words, even in the healthcare setting, there’s not a risk reduction associated with wearing a mask. There’s not a substantial risk reduction. And again, if we’ve decided that living to 150 is our goal, then reducing any risk below 4 per thousand is not a reasonable use of resources. Those resources will be better spent. Now when I say those resources, I mean you, your personal resources. I don’t mean healthcare resources. I mean your personal resources. So, your personal resources will be better spent reducing your heart disease, reducing your diabetes. Because that’s what’s going to kill you.
(50:10) So, the relative risk of coronavirus, even in a healthcare setting, is so small that even wearing a mask among healthcare workers is not protective of coronavirus. Now, it might be protective of other things. I don’t know. Like when I did surgery, sure, I was wearing a mask. But, but, I was not… that wasn’t all I was doing. So, if you walk into the operating room and all you have on is a mask, it’s like, get out of here! Get out of here! Because you would be so infectious. I mean you need a mask, a cap, eye protection. Eye protection plus a mask. I think they do eye protection now. So, you need a mask. You need sterile clothes, a sterile gown over those clothes, a sterile cap with all of your hair pulled up in the cap, and sterile gloves. Now we can say that you’re not infectious.
(51:08) So, just wearing a mask actually doesn’t even reduce your ability to spread infections to other people. Why? Because your skin, face, hands, arms, are constantly, constantly shedding particles, shedding viruses, shedding bacteria. That’s the normal process of being human, and your body has to shed this as part of its cleansing and part of you staying healthy. So, wearing a mask alone in a hospital, we know it’s useless, and that’s why when you go into an area where a mask is necessary—like the operating room is an excellent example—you have sterile covers for your shoes, you have a sterile outfit called scrubs, you have a sterile gown over that, you have a sterile… actually, it’s a non-sterile hat, but it keeps your hair up and out of the way, totally not exposed, you have a one-use-only mask, and eye protection. So, this is where we are. I mean if you’re serious about not infecting other people, a mask alone has never, never been effective in preventing infecting other people.
(52:36) And that’s why in the operating room, we go through a 15 to 20-minute hand scrub. Scrub your hands from the tips all the way up to the elbows, and it’s an elaborate routine of scrubbing, scrubbing, scrubbing, and there’s special soap you have to use. And even then, once you get those hands clean, you can’t touch anything until you get through gloves on them. Even with the hands, there’s a whole ceremony… you pull a sterile towel, and then you wipe your fingertips, and you wipe down towards the non-sterile part, and you let it drop. You can’t even touch it—just let it drop. Then you grab a sterile towel with the other hand and dry this hand off, down to the bottom, let it drop—you can’t pick it up or put it anywhere—just let it drop. Then you have your hands like this, and if you’re low status, you have to master the technique of putting on sterile gloves. So, before you did all this hand washing, you open up the sterile pack of gloves, open… they’re sitting right there, and so now the interior is sterile. So, you wash your hands, you know, dry yourself off, and there’s a trick because they have the cuff of the glove that’s folded up. So, you can pick up the cuff, and you’re still touching the internal part of the glove that would not be sterile anyway. So, you pull it on, and then you give it a special pop, and the cuff unfolds. Yay! And then you put… now this hand is sterile because it’s got a sterile glove on it. You slide this in the top part of the cuff, which is all sterile, and you put your other hand on. And then someone else holds your sterile gown, and you put your hands into the sterile gown, and they pull a little tab, you twirl around, and then now you can tie your own tab because they’re sterile hands because they’re having sterile gloves, and your tabs are all sterile because they were internal, and you can tie it up. You’re ready to go into the operating room.
(54:18) Now obviously, you put your mask, your eye protection, and your hat on before you wash your hands. So, in the absence of this thorough process, you’re able to actually spread your germs and infections to other people. And even this process, as elaborate and ridiculous as it may sound, only diminishes or minimizes greatly your… when I say your, I mean the doctor or whoever’s in the operating room, their spread of disease to the patient.
(55:06) Another thing that’s instructive from medicine is the anesthesiologist. Now the anesthesiologist never touches the patient, is by talking or whatever. So, the anesthesiologist, what does he wear? He just puts on a sterile outfit, which is just super clean because it’s not from home, you know. And that’s pretty much it. He doesn’t need to wear gloves, doesn’t wear a mask, doesn’t wear a hat because what’s separating him from the patient? A sheet. Just a sheet. Read porous. This is not plastic, plexiglass. So, what they are asking us… asking people to do is adopt a caricature of sanitary procedures used in the operating room in a way that is known to be fairly ineffective against a threat that is infinitesimal. In other words, minuscule.
(56:25) So, I think though that it’s everyone’s personal choice, and again remember baseline death rate nine per thousand. Death rate in those who test positive for COVID four per thousand. Death rate in people who are COVID negative, then become COVID positive, one per thousand or even less. 0.009 per thousand if you contracted COVID from a household member, and 0.009 per thousand is less than one-hundredth of the going death rate—pretty close to one in one thousand. So, in other words, you’re in an ultra-healthy environment. So, if you are COVID positive, randomly discovered to be COVID positive, then you’re twice as healthy as the average American right there. And if you have a COVID positive household member and you are COVID negative, but you become COVID positive through contact with them, then now your death rate from that COVID positive exposure is more about one-thousandth… one-thousandth of what it would be if you had never been exposed. Yeah.
Personal Choices
(58:01) So, I am taking absolutely no precautions. Now why am I taking absolutely no precautions? Because I got a lot of stuff going on in my life. I got stuff to do. I mean, I got dishes to wash. You know, I’m fermenting my cabbage and making sauerkraut. I’m fermenting pickles, making my own sour pickles. I just finished making my hot sauce, and I’m working on sourdough bread. I got stuff to do. And putting my time resources into something that has this low a yield would bring down my whole quality of life. And I am totally okay with living to be 100 years. But again, you have to decide what your number is. And I encourage you to pick a number under 200. Yes, pick a number under 200, then you’ll be fine.
Q&A and Final Thoughts
(59:02) So that brings us to questions. Where’s the questions? I’ll go over here.
(59:16) So in Panama, they have lifted the limited house whatever you want to call it. And people of all ages and all genders can now go anywhere they want from 5 a.m to 7 p.m., which is nice.
(59:57) Okay, when my irritable bowel symptoms flare up, my hip arthritis acts up. How do I know if my pain is IBS on my lower right side or my hip arthritis? It is your IBS. So, the bowel in the right lower quadrant sits right on the hip joint. Right on the hip joint. And so, it’s the IBS flaring up. So, I would say address your IBS.
(1:00:35) Okay, I have been following the COVID-19 fraud from the beginning, and I think of you every time. I’ve been wondering whether you have gotten in touch to publicly raise awareness. No, I have not. Sending you much gratitude and love from Beirut. Okay, thank you.
(1:00:50) Oh, can I use honey or maple syrup instead of a cube of sugar? The answer is the cube of sugar works much better.
(1:01:06) All right, that is it. That’s the end of our show. And as always, think happens. But wait, let me show you the… okay, so that is the Sheila Jet. I’ll be drinking that in a few moments. All right, bye-bye.